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As we move into the final stretch of the season, we see the same fight for 3rd, 4th, and 5th that we’ve seen for the last few weeks.  The other hot race is for 8th place.  The 6th and 7th place are still up for grabs. Lastly, there is the fight for the #1 seed.  So, possibly a lot of movement over these last 15 days and 7 or 8 games.

I’m posting the standings based on home court advantage. Technically the Clippers will finish 4th because they will be division winner.  But, according to NBA rules, home court (the important factor in where a team finishes) will be decided according to record and tie breakers (see at bottom of link).

It is nice that Memphis has a 1 1/2 game lead on the Clippers for the last home court spot in the first round.  The Clippers, however, have a much easier finish than the Grizzlies or the Nuggets.  The Clippers play only 7 games, 4 at home and only 2 against teams with winning records.  The Nuggets have an easier remaining schedule than the Grizzlies with 5 of 8 at home and only 3 +500 teams.

The Grizzlies need badly to beat the Clippers in their last game at the Grind House on April 13 and the Grizzlies need to win a maximum of 1 game less than the Clippers win to keep home court in the first round.  If the Grizzlies can come off this current road trip with 2 wins over Portland and LA Lakers, I think they will keep home court.

Notes about series

Top 5 teams’ series standings

Denver beat Memphis 3-1

Memphis beat Oklahoma City 2-1

LA Clippers are 2-1 against Memphis with 1 game to play  on 4-13 @MEM

San Antonio and Memphis split series 2-2

Denver beat LA Clippers2-1

Oklahoma City beat LA Clippers 3-0

San Antonio is 2-1 against Oklahoma City with 1 game to play on 4-04 @OKC

LA Clippers and San Antonio spilt their series 2-2

 

6th to 9th place
teams’ series standings

Utah beat LA Lakers 2-1

Houston beat Golden State 3-1

Houston beat Utah 3-1

Houston is 2-1 against LA Lakers with 1 game to play on 4-17 @LAL

Golden State and Utah are tied 1-1 with 1 game to play on 4-7 @GSW

LA Lakers are 2-1 against Golden State with 1 game to play on 4-12 @LAL

 

Top 9 teams in Western conference are in red on the schedule.

  SAS OKC DEN MEM LAC GSW HOU Utah LAL
  1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
  San Antonio Oklahoma City Denver Memphis LA Clippers Golden State Houston Utah LA Lakers
  SAS OKC DEN MEM LAC GSW HOU Utah LAL
Record 55-19 54-20 50-24 50-24 49-26 42-32 41-33 39-36 39-36
PCT 0.743 0.730 0.676 0.676 0.653 0.568 0.554 0.520 0.520
GB 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 6.5 13.0 14.0 16.5 16.5
Home 32-5 32-5 33-3 30-8 28-9 25-11 27-11 28-9 24-12
Away 23-14 22-15 17-21 20-16 21-17 17-21 14-22 11-27 15-24
Div. 12-4 8-6 9-5 8-6 8-5 8-6 6-9 7-5 7-7
Conf. 32-14 34-13 32-13 29-16 28-17 23-21 20-24 22-23 22-23
Last 10 6-4 7-3 8-2 6-4 4-6 7-3 7-3 6-4 5-5
        GAMES LEFT TO  PLAY      
Total 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 7 7
Home 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 5
Away 4 4 3 5 3 3 5 3 2
+.500 5 5 3 4 2 4 3 4 5
≤ 500 3 3 5 4 5 4 5 3 2
B2B 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 0 1
Div. 0 2 2 2 3 1 1 4 2
Conf. 6 5 7 7 7 7 8 7 6
SOS 0.505 0.552 0.505 0.472 0.434 0.499 0.459 0.534 0.570
  SAS OKC DEN MEM LAC GSW HOU Utah LAL
        Totals March        
W-L 9-5 12-5 13-2 11-6 8-6 9-7 9-5 8-8 9-6
  SAS OKC DEN MEM LAC GSW HOU Utah LAL
          April        
4/3 vs ORL   at Utah at POR vs PHO vs NOR at SAC vs DEN  
0.253   0.520 0.446 0.311 0.351 0.365 0.676  
4/4 at OKC vs SAS vs DAL            
0.730 0.743 0.486            
4/5   at IND   at LAL   at PHO at POR vs NOR vs MEM
  0.640   0.520   0.311 0.446 0.351 0.676
4/6 vs ATL   vs HOU       at DEN    
0.560   0.554       0.676    
4/7   vs NYK   at SAC vs LAL vs Utah   at GSW at LAC
  0.644   0.365 0.520 0.520   0.568 0.653
4/8                  
                 
4/9   at Utah   vs CHA   vs MIN vs PHO vs OKC vs NOR
  0.520   0.230   0.370 0.311 0.730 0.351
4/10 at DEN   vs SAS   vs MIN       at POR
0.676   0.743   0.370       0.446
4/11   at GSW       vs OKC      
  0.568       0.730      
4/12 vs SAC at POR at DAL at HOU at NOR at LAL vs MEM vs MIN vs GSW
0.365 0.446 0.486 0.554 0.351 0.520 0.676 0.370 0.568
4/13       vs LAC at MEM        
      0.653 0.676        
4/14 at LAL   vs POR       vs SAC   vs SAS
0.520   0.446       0.365   0.743
4/15 at GSW vs SAC at MIL at DAL   vs SAS at PHO at MIN  
0.568 0.365 0.493 0.486   0.743 0.311 0.370  
4/16         vs POR        
        0.446        
4/17 vs MIN vs MIL vs PHO vs Utah at SAC at POR at LAL at MEM vs HOU
0.370 0.493 0.311 0.520 0.365 0.446 0.520 0.676 0.554
        Totals April        
W-L 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-1 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0
Remain. 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 7 7
Home 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 5
Away 4 4 3 5 3 3 5 3 2
B2B 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 0 1
SOS 0.505 0.552 0.505 0.472 0.434 0.499 0.459 0.534 0.570
+.500 5 5 3 4 2 4 3 4 5
  SAS OKC DEN MEM LAC GSW HOU Utah LAL
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3 Responses to Chase for 3rd &/or Homecourt

  1. chriskf1No Gravatar says:

    If Denver doesn’t lose tonight @Utah, I don’t think they’ll lose again this season. That would make them the #3. When you look at the schedules for Memphis and the Clippers, I really believe it will come down to that last matchup between the two teams. If the Grizz win, they’ll have a better record (and home court), if the Clippers win the final records will be the same, the head-to-head will be the same, and the tiebreaker will go to the Division Champs.

    Hope I’m wrong… there isn’t a sweeter seed in the West than that 3-spot vs. Golden State and I’d love for Memphis to get it.

  2. dcgrizzNo Gravatar says:

    I think you’re misinterpreting the NBA tie-break rules. Homecourt advantage is pursuant to the “two-team” tiebreaker rules, the first of which is:

    a. Two Teams Tied
    (1) Division leader wins tie from team not leading a division

    So, because LAC has won their division, while Memphis will not, LAC would get the homecourt advantage along with the #4 seed and Memphis would get the #5 seed, whether or not Memphis has a superior record.

    Still, I’m more optimistic about our chances v. LAC than v. DEN.

    • CarlCRNo Gravatar says:

      You are correct that if the Clippers and the Grizzlies end the season with the same record, then Clippers would have homecourt because they are a division champ. Also, the best the Grizzlies can do is to tie the season series is they win the game with the Clippers on April 13.

      But, if the Grizzlies end the season with a better record than the Clippers, then they would have homecourt. This is according to the NBA rules. Here is a link that explains it. http://www.nba.com/features/seedingprimer07.html

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